Wimbledon Women's Final betting preview: Garbine Muguruza v Venus Williams - who will win and why?

Check out the Telegraph's betting preview of G.Muguruza vs V.Williams Credit: 2014 Getty Images/Al Bello

All eyes will be on Centre Court as Garbine Muguruza and Venus Williams go head-to-head to become Wimbledon champion. In what will be a highly competitive match between youth and experience, here are our betting tips to help you find an edge.

How they got here

Garbine Muguruza's lead up to Wimbledon has done wonders for her tournament as the world number six competed in both the Birmingham Classic and Eastbourne.

Muguruza, who has not missed a beat so far throughout Wimbledon, started her campaign with a straight set victory over Ekaterina Alexandrova (6-2, 6-4). The Spaniard mirrored the same result in her Second Round match against Belgian Yanina Wickmayer (6-2, 6-4).

The Third Round saw Mugurza dominate her opponent Sorana Cîrstea (6-2, 6-2). It was a masterclass of tennis as the 23-year-old established herself as one of the top contenders for the title.

Muguruza would face her first seeded opponent in Round Four, Angelique Kerber. This was the first time the finalist dropped a set, but Muguruza went on to win (4-6, 6-4, 6-4), and the betting markets confirmed her as the favourite after knocking the German out of the tournament.

The quarter-final saw the 14th seed face off against the experienced Svetlana Kuznetsova, where the Spaniard showed her class with a straight sets victory (6-3, 6-4).

And if she needed any more momentum to take her into the final, her semi-final victory was practically flawless as she breezed through Magdalena Rybarikova (6-1, 6-1).

Venus's lead up saw her move from the clay courts of the French open straight to the grass courts of Wimbledon where she has lifted the title six times. 

Williams' first match saw her face off against Elise Mertens which she won (7(9)-6(7), 6-4). Her Second Round match saw the American face off against the unseeded Wang Qiang, while Williams dropped the first set, she came out dominant and continued her Wimbledon campaign in a two to one victory (4-6, 6-4, 6-1).

The Third Round saw the American again go to a tie breaker against Naomi Osaka in the first set but she went on then and win the match (7(7)- 6(3), 6-4). Then, Williams played her first seeded opponent, seed 27 Ana Konjuh whom she made light work of in a dominant performance (6-3, 6-2).

Williams continued her impressive tournament against 13th seed Jelena Ostapenko in the quarter-final where she looked like a real contender, winning in straight sets (6-3, 7-5). However, the five-time Wimbledon champion would face her greatest challenge in the semi-final against hometown favourite Johanna Konta.

Williams' inserted herself into the title picture after a brilliant display of power and precision against Konta in straight sets (6-4, 6-2).

Tale of the tape

Muguruza and Williams have met a series of four times with Williams winning three of the exchanges although all of these matches have been on hard court.

Muguruza holds the most recent victory between the pair, winning their quarter-final match in the Rome masters in a three set match.

These two have met in a final before at the WTA Wuhan Draw where Muguruza retired injured back in 2015.

Who will win

This has all the makings of an absolute classic as both players are mega powerhouse players. Muguruza has had the harder lead-up to the final and has put the division on notice.

Williams is a veteran at this stage, and five titles cannot be ignored. She'll be hoping to get this match done in straight sets, and after beating Johanna Konta, she looks back to her best, although Muguruza is playing the best tennis since her victory at the French Open last year. 

The Spaniard will have to earn the win. However, her current form is undeniably brilliant, and she should be able to claim her first Wimbledon title.


Recommended bet:

Muguruza to win 2-1 @ 3/1

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Tie Break in the match @ 9/4

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